Chad Evans

CHANGES IN SUNDAY STORM TRACK SHIFTING SEVERE THREAT & WARMTH……..

April 3rd, 2009 at 6:47 am by under News, Weather

FREEZE/FROST TONIGHT: 27-33 DEGREES………….
freeze-tonight27-33-degrees
FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WARM FRONT SUNDAY MORNING……….
sunday-morning-showers
POSSIBLE LINE OF T’STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON………..
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SUNDAY STORM TRACK SHIFTING NORTH, PUTTING US IN THE WARMER SECTOR WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AFTERNOON SEVERE T’STORMS………..
sunday-storm-track
MORE NORTHWARD STORM TRACK MEANS WARMER SUNDAY……..
sunday-highs
SOUTHERN INSTABILITY SHIFTING NORTH FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON………..
sunday-instability
MONDAY A.M. WET SNOW WRAPPING IN………..
some-wet-snow-wrapping-in-mon-am1
HARD FREEZE MONDAY & TUESDAY NIGHT: 23 TO 27 DEGREES……………
23-to-27-degrees-mon-tue-am
WARM AIR BUILDING IN NEAR APRIL 10th………
much-warmer-air-building-by-apr-10th


CHANGES TO FORECAST SINCE THIS MORNING: WARMER TODAY & SLIGHT SEVERE RISK MOVING SHIFTING NORTH FOR TONIGHT

April 2nd, 2009 at 12:49 pm by under News, Weather

As you can probably tell, it is warming up nicely outside…….this is a result of our system moving about 60 more miles north, compared to earlier this morning…….

The warm front has passed & is up along I-74 & our current temperature at 1:26 p.m. is 68 degrees, headed for 72……..

THIS MEANS THAT THE SEVERE RISK HAS SHIFTED NORTH FOR TONIGHT, COVERING THE ENTIRE WABASH VALLEY WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER……….

THE TORNADO THREAT HAS SHIFTED AS FAR NORTH AS PRINCETON, INDIANA FOR TONIGHT, AS OF 1:26……..

YOU KNOW THE DRILL, MUCH COULD CHANGE……….NEW DATA OUT LATER THIS AFTERNOON……..
NICE INSTABILITY TO I-74 TONIGHT………
nice-instability-now-to-i-74-tonight
THINKING POTENTIAL GUSTS WITH SQUALL LINE TONIGHT………….
<img src=”http://blogs.wthitv.com/files/2009/04/thinking-poss-gusts-with-squall-line-tonight.gif” alt=”thinking-poss-gusts-with-squall-line-tonight” title=”thinking-poss-gusts-with-squall-line-tonight” width=”800″ height=”600″ class=”alignnone size-full wp-image-759″
CAP OR LID ON ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON………..(HAMPERS RAIN/STORM DEVELOPMENT)
cap-or-lid-on-atmosphere-at-2-pm
CAP OR LID DISSIPATED THIS EVENING, ALLOWING RAIN/STORM DEVELOPMENT AS STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES…………
cap-dissipates-to-allow-rain-storm-dev-this-eve


SEQUENCE OF TODAY-TONIGHT’S SYSTEM….1-2″ RAIN, SEVERE RISK I-70 & SOUTHWARD…..

April 2nd, 2009 at 12:08 pm by under News, Weather

LIKELY 1 P.M. RADAR………
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LIKELY 7 P.M. RADAR……..
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LIKELY 10 P.M. RADAR……….
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LIKELY 3 A.M. RADAR…………
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LIKELY 7 A.M. RADAR……….
7-am-radar1
POTENTIAL WIND GUSTS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH SQUALL LINE……….
potential-wind-gusts-with-squall-line-after-12-am1
INSTABILITY TONIGHT…………
instability-tonight1
PROJECTED RAINFALL THROUGH 3 A.M…….
rainfall-through-3-am
PROJECTED RAINFALL 3 A.M.-9 A.M.
rainfall-3-am-9-am


STORM TRACK SHIFTING NORTH SOME FOR THURSDAY NIGHT=TWEAKS TO FORECAST

April 1st, 2009 at 11:59 am by under Weather

THURSDAY NIGHT SEVERE RISK ALONG & SOUTH OF I-70 VIA EMBEDDED SQUALL LINE IN THE RAIN………
thursday-night-severe-risk-along-s-i-70
NEW DATA SHIFTING MORE VIGOROUS INSTABILITY 120 MILES NORTH…….
thursday-night-instability
TEMPERATURES MAY ACTUALLY RISE FEW DEGREES THU. NIGHT TO AS HIGH AS 64 IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES…….
temps-rising-thu-night
DECENT WIND FIELDS WILL OVERSPREAD INSTABILITY THU. NIGHT, CAUSING SEVERE RISK…..THESE FACTORS MAY MAINTAIN THE SQUALL LINE THROUGH OUR AREA……..
decent-dynamics-thu-night1
LOW STRATUS DECK WILL PIVOT IN AROUND LOW, KEEPING A GOOD CHUNK OF FRIDAY CLOUDY AFTER MORNING SHOWERS…..WINDS WILL BE STRONG, GUSTING TO 35 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST……..Pink on the Map is Sunshine, Light Sky Blue is Overcast (This Map Shows Me That the 5,000′ Layer [Low Levels or the Stratus Cloud Layer is Saturated], Meaning Overcast)
cloudy-most-of-fripink-is-sun-lt-blue-is-overcast1
COMBINE TEMPS FALLING INTO 40s WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS & THAT MEANS WINDCHILLS FALLING INTO THE 20s & 30s FOR FRIDAY………
fri-temps-falling-into-40s


NICE TODAY, 50/50 WEEKEND, RAIN, 3 NIGHTS OF FREEZES, DELAYED WARM-UP

April 1st, 2009 at 7:29 am by under Weather

RAIN ARRIVES LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON…….COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES THURSDAY NIGHT…….Few Showers May Linger Into Friday a.m…..Low Gray Clouds May Linger Into Friday Afternoon with Strong Northwest Winds…………
rainfall-totals-late-thu-fri-am
FRIDAY NIGHT FREEZE OF 25-30 DEGREES LIKELY………
freeze-friday-night
RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY AFTERNOON……Few Showers May Linger Into Monday with Low, Gray Clouds & Strong, Chily Winds From the Northwest…….
rainfall-totals-late-sun-mon-am
ANOTHER FREEZE OF 25-30 DEGREES MONDAY NIGHT………..
monday-night-freeze
ANOTHER 25-30 DEGREE FREEZE TUESDAY NIGHT……..
freeze-tuesday-night
WARMTH WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN THE PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK & GET HERE BY APRIL 10th………….

plains-warmth


CLEARING SKIES LATER TODAY IN “DRY SLOT”…….

March 31st, 2009 at 8:06 am by under News, Weather

NOTICE DRY SLOT IN MISSOURI ALONG & JUST BEHIND COLD FRONT WITH SUNSHINE…..THIS WILL ARRIVE LATER TODAY ONCE THE RAIN PARTS, BRINGING SOME SUN & 60s BEFORE THE DAY ENDS……
dry-slot
THIS PINKS IN THIS PICTURE ARE DRIER AIR IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE, MOVING IN & CLEARING SKIES…..RAIN WILL BE GONE LATER TODAY & SKIES WILL CLEAR……GOOD EVENING TO TAKE A WALK OR RUN ERRANDS……
clearing-today1


FRONT SPEEDING UP TODAY!!!! NO SEVERE WEATHER DUE TO LACK OF INSTABILITY, DESPITE NICE WIND FIELDS ALOFT

March 31st, 2009 at 7:36 am by under News, Weather

THIS WILL BE THE RADAR BY 3 P.M……RAIN IS PULLING AWAY…..COLD FRONT WILL PASS BY 4 P.M…..DRY, SOME SUNSHINE & 60s LATE THIS AFTERNOON & THIS EVENING
today
RAINFALL TOTALS FOR TODAY
rainfall-for-today


HARD FREEZE TONIGHT….SEVERE TUESDAY???

March 29th, 2009 at 5:03 pm by under News, Weather

HARD FREEZE TONIGHT WITH LOWS NEAR 25 (23-27 NORTH TO SOUTH)
Temperature May Rise a Few Degrees 6 a.m.-8 a.m. Due to Warm Air Moving Back In…..NONETHELESS….We are Looking at 10 Hours of Below Freezing Temps Through Most of the Area…..
hard-freeze
SEVERE TUESDAY?????
POSSIBLE SQUALL LINE TUESDAY AFTERNOON EVENING…..
squall-line1
MUCH WARMER TUESDAY……
much-warmer-tuesday
55 to 58 degree Dew Points Surging Up Ahead of Front, Leading to Some Marginal Instability…..(TWO BELOW IMAGES..IMAGE #1 DEW POINTS…..IMAGE #2 INSTABILITY)
dew-points-50s-ahead-of-storm
limited-instability-tuesday
INSTABILITY IS QUITE MARGINAL, BUT DYNAMICS WITH STRONG LOW ARE QUITE NICE……..(IMAGE #1 5,000′ WINDS, IMAGE #2 10,000′ WINDS [BOTH STRONG])
nice-dynamics
nice-dynamics-ii
GENERAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM SQUALLY LINE ALONG COLD FRONT…..
strong-system


SOME WET SNOW SUNDAY A.M.

March 28th, 2009 at 10:20 pm by under Weather

1″….up to 2″ west of Illinois Route 130…..rest of us, some wet snow with any accumulation a slushy coating on cars & grass……it will melt quickly & a dry afternoon will ensue
snow


WATCHING SEVERE THREAT NEXT 1-2 HOURS…..

March 28th, 2009 at 5:36 pm by under News, Weather

severe-storms1
SEVERE SQUALL LINE IS NOW APPROACHING…………POSSIBLE WARNINGS IN NEXT HOUR IN SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES………WATCHING………..